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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.52+6.82vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.12+7.39vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+2.20vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.15+1.93vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.50+3.17vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.06+0.15vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.97+3.10vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.83+5.34vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.36-0.43vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.18-4.32vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.82-0.51vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-3.33vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.65-5.50vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.79-3.47vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.24-5.84vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-6.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82Northeastern University2.520.1%1st Place
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9.39Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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5.2Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.93Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.17Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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6.15Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.1University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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13.34Roger Williams University0.830.0%1st Place
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8.57University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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5.68Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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10.49Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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8.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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7.5Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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10.53Tufts University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.16Bowdoin College2.240.1%1st Place
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9.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah De Silva | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 5.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 14.5% | 12.7% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Sophia Reineke | 11.0% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.7% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Annie Spence | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 8.5% |
| Rachel Holick | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 13.5% | 45.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% |
| Hannah Steadman | 12.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 10.2% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Leyla Senocak | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 11.1% |
| Claire Havig | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 3.8% |
| Greta Farrell | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 3.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.