Race 10B

2017-victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Hannah Steadman 11.7% 12.0% 12.3% 8.9% 9.5% 8.4% 8.5% 6.7% 4.6% 5.9% 3.8% 4.0% 1.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2%
Sarah De Silva 5.6% 7.9% 5.8% 8.7% 6.9% 5.4% 5.7% 9.0% 6.7% 6.5% 7.4% 5.7% 7.4% 5.5% 4.0% 1.8%
Louisa Nordstrom 14.4% 11.2% 11.9% 11.1% 9.0% 9.4% 9.1% 7.3% 4.8% 3.9% 2.9% 1.8% 1.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Sophia Reineke 10.2% 11.3% 10.1% 9.2% 10.5% 9.1% 7.3% 6.8% 5.7% 6.2% 5.1% 3.9% 2.3% 1.5% 0.5% 0.3%
Audrey Giblin 10.1% 11.3% 9.4% 9.0% 9.4% 9.4% 6.7% 6.9% 6.1% 6.5% 5.3% 4.0% 3.1% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Alexandra Maurillo 5.2% 4.8% 7.2% 7.3% 6.8% 7.9% 5.9% 7.4% 7.8% 6.5% 6.3% 7.3% 6.8% 4.9% 5.7% 2.2%
Grace Mooradian 4.9% 4.1% 4.1% 5.2% 3.9% 5.2% 6.1% 5.2% 6.0% 7.0% 7.2% 7.4% 8.3% 10.9% 9.2% 5.3%
Leyla Senocak 3.1% 3.0% 3.8% 2.9% 3.9% 4.8% 5.4% 4.1% 5.3% 5.7% 7.0% 7.0% 8.6% 12.5% 12.6% 10.3%
Delaney Bamford 5.3% 5.9% 4.9% 6.1% 6.4% 6.0% 6.7% 7.2% 6.8% 8.8% 7.6% 6.8% 6.2% 6.0% 5.4% 3.9%
Greta Farrell 4.7% 5.0% 3.1% 4.9% 4.7% 4.1% 7.3% 6.5% 6.8% 6.7% 8.0% 10.3% 8.8% 8.2% 7.5% 3.4%
Taylor Gavula 8.1% 6.3% 7.4% 8.2% 6.2% 7.0% 6.7% 7.5% 7.9% 7.0% 6.7% 7.5% 5.4% 3.8% 2.7% 1.6%
Annie Spence 3.9% 4.0% 2.9% 3.3% 5.7% 5.2% 5.8% 6.1% 6.3% 5.5% 6.4% 7.0% 8.3% 10.3% 11.6% 7.7%
Madelynn Widmeier 4.7% 4.1% 6.9% 7.2% 5.2% 6.4% 6.5% 6.3% 8.8% 6.1% 7.2% 7.0% 7.7% 7.1% 6.1% 2.7%
Grace Vincens 2.9% 3.2% 3.5% 2.3% 5.3% 4.7% 5.6% 4.9% 5.1% 7.1% 6.4% 7.6% 9.5% 10.8% 11.7% 9.4%
Rachel Holick 1.2% 1.5% 1.0% 1.1% 1.3% 1.5% 1.2% 2.0% 2.6% 3.1% 3.8% 4.5% 6.6% 7.2% 14.3% 47.1%
Claire Havig 4.0% 4.4% 5.7% 4.6% 5.3% 5.5% 5.5% 6.1% 8.7% 7.5% 8.9% 8.2% 7.3% 7.0% 7.3% 4.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.