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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+4.18vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.06+4.13vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+2.82vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.52+4.25vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.50+3.21vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+3.41vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.36+1.82vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.500.00vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-0.30vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.24-0.82vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.18-5.26vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.40-3.41vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.97-2.88vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University1.82-3.48vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.12-5.32vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University0.83-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.13Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.82Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.25Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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8.21Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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9.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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8.82University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.0Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.18Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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5.74Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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8.59Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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10.12University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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10.52Salve Regina University1.820.0%1st Place
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9.68Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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13.65Roger Williams University0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.4% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 12.5% | 10.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 10.7% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Sophia Reineke | 11.4% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 5.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.2% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% |
| Claire Havig | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Talia Toland | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% |
| Annie Spence | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 8.2% |
| Grace Vincens | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 9.7% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 5.3% |
| Rachel Holick | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 14.1% | 49.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.