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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.92+3.21vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.78+5.74vs Predicted
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3Harvard University4.17+3.48vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+3.46vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.98+2.28vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.62+2.51vs Predicted
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8Boston University4.07-1.18vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.89-1.48vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-1.32vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University3.06-0.60vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University3.26-2.32vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.25-3.04vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University4.71-8.92vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-7.49vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.21Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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7.74Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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6.48Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.28Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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8.51University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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6.82Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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7.52Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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10.4Salve Regina University3.060.0%1st Place
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9.68Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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9.96Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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5.08Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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7.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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12.65Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Canfield | 18.2% | 19.8% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| John Stokes | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% |
| Colin Smith | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Carmody | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 3.5% |
| Ben Greenfield | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 3.8% |
| Eric Decesar | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 16.5% | 13.0% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 10.3% |
| D.J. Hatch | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 13.1% | 9.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.7% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Michael Reney | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 48.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.