Race 14B

2017-victorian-urn

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Louisa Nordstrom 13.9% 13.7% 11.4% 12.1% 8.9% 8.0% 8.0% 4.9% 5.8% 4.5% 3.2% 2.6% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%
Hannah Steadman 12.6% 12.2% 10.4% 9.5% 9.1% 8.2% 6.2% 7.9% 6.6% 5.1% 3.6% 3.2% 2.3% 1.4% 1.2% 0.5%
Lucy Wilmot 6.1% 5.1% 6.3% 5.2% 6.7% 7.1% 8.0% 7.5% 6.8% 7.6% 9.1% 6.8% 5.8% 6.2% 3.6% 2.1%
Greta Farrell 3.3% 4.1% 5.5% 5.6% 5.4% 4.8% 5.2% 5.8% 5.8% 6.9% 7.2% 9.6% 7.5% 7.7% 10.1% 5.5%
Talia Toland 5.2% 5.4% 5.3% 5.3% 6.7% 6.8% 6.3% 8.4% 5.9% 6.4% 7.7% 6.9% 8.1% 7.8% 6.0% 1.8%
Grace Mooradian 3.9% 2.1% 4.3% 5.2% 5.2% 6.6% 7.1% 5.8% 6.2% 6.2% 6.0% 6.9% 8.1% 11.7% 7.8% 6.9%
Alexandra Maurillo 5.4% 6.7% 7.2% 4.6% 6.4% 5.3% 7.4% 6.5% 8.1% 7.2% 7.1% 6.9% 7.9% 6.0% 4.6% 2.7%
Delaney Bamford 4.8% 6.0% 6.5% 5.7% 5.7% 6.0% 6.1% 6.1% 6.9% 7.6% 8.1% 8.7% 6.2% 6.9% 5.8% 2.9%
Sophia Reineke 12.2% 11.0% 9.8% 11.2% 8.1% 8.6% 6.8% 9.2% 5.0% 4.8% 4.5% 3.6% 2.0% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4%
Madelynn Widmeier 4.9% 5.2% 4.9% 5.7% 3.7% 6.4% 5.6% 7.0% 8.6% 7.2% 8.0% 8.6% 7.7% 6.7% 6.9% 2.9%
Annie Spence 3.9% 3.5% 3.4% 5.1% 4.2% 4.3% 4.5% 5.2% 5.3% 7.7% 6.5% 7.4% 9.2% 9.2% 12.6% 8.0%
Grace Vincens 2.8% 3.7% 3.1% 2.5% 4.5% 5.2% 4.7% 5.0% 5.6% 6.5% 5.8% 6.5% 9.3% 9.3% 12.6% 12.9%
Audrey Giblin 9.5% 11.2% 10.7% 8.9% 10.3% 7.2% 8.6% 6.6% 6.6% 5.6% 5.2% 3.4% 3.4% 2.1% 0.5% 0.2%
Sarah De Silva 6.1% 5.2% 5.9% 7.6% 7.9% 7.7% 7.1% 5.7% 8.4% 6.8% 7.1% 6.6% 7.5% 4.7% 3.9% 1.8%
Claire Havig 4.5% 3.8% 4.2% 4.9% 6.0% 6.4% 6.3% 5.8% 6.1% 7.4% 6.8% 8.6% 8.0% 10.1% 7.5% 3.6%
Rachel Holick 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 0.9% 1.2% 1.4% 2.1% 2.6% 2.3% 2.5% 4.1% 3.7% 5.2% 7.7% 15.5% 47.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.