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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+4.03vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+3.60vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+6.19vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.40+4.55vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.15+0.85vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.50+2.14vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.24+2.06vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.06-2.09vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-0.42vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.12-0.48vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.97-1.08vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University0.83+1.37vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.52-5.12vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.36-5.57vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.50-6.86vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.10-3.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.03Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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5.6Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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9.19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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8.55Tufts University2.400.0%1st Place
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5.85Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.14Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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9.06Bowdoin College2.240.0%1st Place
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5.91Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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9.52Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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9.92University of Vermont1.970.0%1st Place
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13.37Roger Williams University0.830.0%1st Place
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7.88Northeastern University2.520.0%1st Place
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8.43University of Rhode Island2.360.1%1st Place
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8.14Connecticut College2.500.1%1st Place
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12.82Salve Regina University1.100.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 13.7% | 14.6% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 13.5% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% |
| Talia Toland | 4.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 2.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 9.6% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 1.8% |
| Claire Havig | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 3.3% |
| Audrey Giblin | 12.0% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 2.7% |
| Grace Mooradian | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Annie Spence | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 6.9% |
| Rachel Holick | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 15.5% | 42.6% |
| Sarah De Silva | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Delaney Bamford | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Lucie Ford | 1.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 22.2% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.