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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+2.20vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.63+0.80vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.96+0.79vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.43+0.67vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.19+1.80vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.83vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.74-2.81vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-0.97vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.11-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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2.8Stanford University2.630.3%1st Place
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3.79University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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4.67University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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6.8University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
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5.17Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.19University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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7.03University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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7.36University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simone Staff | 22.7% | 19.3% | 18.0% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 26.9% | 24.2% | 18.6% | 14.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Grace Yakutis | 14.7% | 15.7% | 16.6% | 16.3% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 7.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Laura Roudebush | 8.9% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 13.2% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 7.7% | 2.5% |
| Whitney Ziesing | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 16.4% | 22.1% | 26.3% |
| Alyson Crowley | 7.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 18.0% | 17.1% | 11.1% | 3.7% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 11.6% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 15.3% | 17.2% | 13.5% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Alexis Miller | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 10.1% | 16.5% | 26.9% | 27.3% |
| Natalie Hopper | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 13.8% | 24.8% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.