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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+2.20vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.63+0.83vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.96+0.78vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.10vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii1.74-0.93vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.43-1.29vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.19-0.05vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-0.98vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.11-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.2University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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2.83Stanford University2.630.3%1st Place
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3.78University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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5.1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.07University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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4.71University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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6.95University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
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7.02University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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7.35University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simone Staff | 22.3% | 18.7% | 17.9% | 16.7% | 11.7% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 27.1% | 23.7% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 9.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 14.9% | 15.6% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Alyson Crowley | 7.1% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 11.4% | 3.7% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 12.3% | 16.5% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Laura Roudebush | 8.5% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 12.7% | 17.1% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 1.9% |
| Whitney Ziesing | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 12.8% | 16.7% | 27.3% | 24.1% |
| Alexis Miller | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 10.0% | 18.8% | 23.0% | 29.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 15.7% | 21.8% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.