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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.74+3.14vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+1.37vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.43+1.72vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.63-1.39vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.96-1.31vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+0.98vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.80vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.19-1.06vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.11-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.14University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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3.37University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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4.72University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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2.61Stanford University2.630.3%1st Place
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3.69University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
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6.98University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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5.2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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6.94University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
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7.34University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Schadt | 13.5% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 15.7% | 14.9% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 0.7% |
| Simone Staff | 16.7% | 20.9% | 18.7% | 17.8% | 12.4% | 7.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Laura Roudebush | 8.4% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 15.4% | 17.8% | 14.3% | 6.9% | 1.5% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 31.3% | 24.2% | 18.6% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 16.6% | 17.8% | 16.4% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Alexis Miller | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 17.2% | 25.6% | 27.1% |
| Alyson Crowley | 6.5% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 16.3% | 17.5% | 16.8% | 9.6% | 4.6% |
| Whitney Ziesing | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 10.6% | 17.5% | 24.9% | 26.5% |
| Natalie Hopper | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 14.2% | 23.0% | 38.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.