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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii1.74+3.18vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+3.39vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+0.21vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.96-0.35vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.19+1.80vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.63-3.36vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.43-2.26vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.11-0.67vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-1.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.18University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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5.39Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.21University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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3.65University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
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6.8University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
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2.64Stanford University2.630.3%1st Place
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4.74University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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7.33University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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7.05University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caitlin Schadt | 12.6% | 13.0% | 13.6% | 15.3% | 15.9% | 15.1% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Alyson Crowley | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 15.5% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 12.0% | 5.9% |
| Simone Staff | 21.0% | 20.5% | 17.9% | 15.9% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 3.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Grace Yakutis | 16.3% | 16.2% | 17.4% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Whitney Ziesing | 2.5% | 2.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 18.2% | 22.7% | 25.1% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 29.6% | 26.3% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 8.1% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 13.1% | 7.9% | 1.9% |
| Natalie Hopper | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 15.1% | 24.4% | 37.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 16.6% | 25.2% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.