← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Caitlin Schadt 12.6% 13.0% 13.6% 15.3% 15.9% 15.1% 9.3% 4.6% 0.6%
Alyson Crowley 5.0% 6.8% 9.3% 11.7% 15.5% 17.2% 16.6% 12.0% 5.9%
Simone Staff 21.0% 20.5% 17.9% 15.9% 12.1% 8.1% 3.6% 0.7% 0.2%
Grace Yakutis 16.3% 16.2% 17.4% 16.6% 14.4% 10.6% 6.0% 2.0% 0.5%
Whitney Ziesing 2.5% 2.5% 5.6% 6.4% 6.6% 10.4% 18.2% 22.7% 25.1%
Maria El-Khazindar 29.6% 26.3% 16.9% 13.4% 7.4% 4.4% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Laura Roudebush 8.1% 9.4% 13.0% 13.5% 16.2% 16.9% 13.1% 7.9% 1.9%
Natalie Hopper 2.4% 2.3% 2.7% 3.7% 5.5% 6.9% 15.1% 24.4% 37.0%
Alexis Miller 2.5% 3.0% 3.6% 3.5% 6.4% 10.4% 16.6% 25.2% 28.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.