← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Southern California1.96+2.77vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University2.63+0.80vs Predicted
-
3University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+4.06vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-0.83vs Predicted
-
5University of Hawaii1.74-0.93vs Predicted
-
6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.89vs Predicted
-
7University of California at San Diego-0.11+0.40vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley0.19-1.08vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles1.43-4.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.77University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
-
2.8Stanford University2.630.3%1st Place
-
7.06University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
-
3.17University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
-
4.07University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
-
5.11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
-
7.4University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
-
6.92University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
-
4.7University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Yakutis | 15.6% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 16.4% | 16.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 26.7% | 23.2% | 19.5% | 14.9% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexis Miller | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 10.8% | 15.7% | 26.1% | 28.3% |
| Simone Staff | 21.2% | 21.1% | 17.4% | 18.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 12.7% | 14.9% | 15.7% | 14.7% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 15.4% | 20.3% | 15.4% | 9.7% | 3.5% |
| Natalie Hopper | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 15.0% | 22.4% | 39.5% |
| Whitney Ziesing | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 17.9% | 26.5% | 24.6% |
| Laura Roudebush | 9.3% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 12.6% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 14.8% | 6.0% | 2.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.