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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.96+2.80vs Predicted
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2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+3.38vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.74+1.18vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-0.88vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+1.87vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.43-1.34vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.19-0.07vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.63-5.32vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.11-1.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.8University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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5.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.18University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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3.12University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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6.87University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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4.66University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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6.93University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
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2.68Stanford University2.630.3%1st Place
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7.38University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Yakutis | 14.7% | 15.7% | 16.8% | 16.3% | 15.4% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 0.1% |
| Alyson Crowley | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 17.1% | 14.0% | 4.5% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 12.2% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 16.6% | 15.7% | 14.2% | 9.0% | 4.9% | 0.7% |
| Simone Staff | 21.1% | 21.9% | 20.5% | 13.9% | 11.0% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Alexis Miller | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 15.8% | 22.8% | 27.4% |
| Laura Roudebush | 8.6% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 12.5% | 6.3% | 2.0% |
| Whitney Ziesing | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 10.9% | 19.1% | 26.7% | 23.9% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 30.7% | 23.6% | 17.5% | 13.3% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 14.7% | 20.4% | 41.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.