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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University4.17+7.14vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.33+5.45vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.61+7.89vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.19+4.06vs Predicted
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5University of Miami3.69+5.27vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida3.49+5.42vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland4.27+1.00vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University3.84+1.48vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.60+1.71vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy4.16-1.75vs Predicted
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11Washington College3.65-0.34vs Predicted
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12University of Washington2.13+4.76vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-3.10vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont3.62-3.41vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.93-5.71vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.53-0.79vs Predicted
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17Brown University4.25-9.28vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.90-4.02vs Predicted
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19Tufts University3.56-8.10vs Predicted
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20University of Wisconsin3.31-7.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.14Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.45Georgetown University4.330.1%1st Place
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10.89Old Dominion University3.610.0%1st Place
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8.06Yale University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.27University of Miami3.690.0%1st Place
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11.42University of South Florida3.490.0%1st Place
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8.0St. Mary's College of Maryland4.270.1%1st Place
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9.48Salve Regina University3.840.1%1st Place
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10.71SUNY Maritime College3.600.0%1st Place
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8.25U. S. Naval Academy4.160.1%1st Place
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10.66Washington College3.650.1%1st Place
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16.76University of Washington2.130.0%1st Place
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9.9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.0%1st Place
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10.59University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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9.29College of Charleston3.930.1%1st Place
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15.21Boston University2.530.0%1st Place
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7.72Brown University4.250.1%1st Place
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13.98Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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10.9Tufts University3.560.0%1st Place
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12.31University of Wisconsin3.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Stokes | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Scott Furnary | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alan Alkins | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| Joseph Morris | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| David Hernandez | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Will Stocke | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Jesse Kirkland | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Clancy | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Harry Scott | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Martin Sterling | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Michael Whitford | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Bradley Sainsbury | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 15.0% | 43.3% |
| Austen Anderson | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Coleman Bowen | 3.6% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Zeke Horowitz | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Mathew Renik | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 17.4% | 21.8% |
| William Brown | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Pedrick | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 12.2% |
| Nicolas Russo-Larsson | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Leif Evensen | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.