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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.92+3.15vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+5.18vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.78+4.71vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.25+5.60vs Predicted
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5Harvard University4.17+1.55vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+1.46vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University4.71-2.17vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.89-0.58vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University3.26-0.50vs Predicted
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11Boston University4.07-4.12vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.98-4.84vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.54-1.04vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-5.15vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.62-6.76vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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7.18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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7.71Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.6Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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6.55Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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4.83Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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7.42Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.5Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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6.88Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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7.16Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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11.96Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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8.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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8.24University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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12.51Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Canfield | 19.2% | 18.9% | 13.3% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| D.J. Hatch | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 9.0% |
| John Stokes | 8.5% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.7% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 5.8% |
| Ben Greenfield | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Colin Smith | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 12.6% | 20.7% | 27.1% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 4.8% |
| Matthew Carmody | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.0% |
| Michael Reney | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 10.7% | 16.8% | 41.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.