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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+2.17vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.63+0.80vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.74+1.19vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.96-0.34vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.11+2.25vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.82vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles1.43-2.25vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.19-1.03vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-1.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.17University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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2.8Stanford University2.630.3%1st Place
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4.19University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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3.66University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
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7.25University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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5.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.75University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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6.97University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
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7.04University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simone Staff | 22.4% | 20.4% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 11.5% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 26.3% | 24.7% | 18.3% | 14.7% | 8.4% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 11.8% | 13.5% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 14.9% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 16.2% | 16.2% | 18.3% | 15.6% | 14.4% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 25.2% | 35.1% |
| Alyson Crowley | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 14.5% | 17.6% | 18.0% | 9.6% | 4.3% |
| Laura Roudebush | 8.9% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 16.0% | 13.1% | 8.5% | 2.0% |
| Whitney Ziesing | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 10.2% | 17.5% | 24.8% | 27.2% |
| Alexis Miller | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 17.0% | 24.7% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.