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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+2.19vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.63+0.79vs Predicted
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3University of Southern California1.96+0.79vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.43+0.67vs Predicted
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5University of California at San Diego-0.11+2.23vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-0.84vs Predicted
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7University of Hawaii1.74-2.81vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-0.96vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.19-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.19University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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2.79Stanford University2.630.3%1st Place
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3.79University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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4.67University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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7.23University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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5.16Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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4.19University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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7.04University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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6.93University of California at Berkeley0.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Simone Staff | 22.7% | 19.6% | 17.4% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 26.9% | 23.9% | 19.1% | 13.9% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Grace Yakutis | 14.9% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 17.1% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 6.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Laura Roudebush | 9.0% | 11.6% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 14.6% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.5% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 24.9% | 35.3% |
| Alyson Crowley | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 14.0% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 10.2% | 4.2% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 11.4% | 13.5% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 4.9% | 0.9% |
| Alexis Miller | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 16.7% | 25.3% | 29.0% |
| Whitney Ziesing | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 17.9% | 23.8% | 27.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.