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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.63+1.85vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+1.56vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii1.74+1.47vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.42vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.96-1.10vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles1.43-1.00vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.48-2.07vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.12-0.71vs Predicted
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9University of California at San Diego-0.11-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85Stanford University2.630.3%1st Place
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3.56University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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4.47University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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5.42Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.9University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
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5.0University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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4.93University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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7.29University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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7.59University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maria El-Khazindar | 28.1% | 21.5% | 19.1% | 13.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Simone Staff | 16.7% | 19.9% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 14.6% | 14.8% | 12.1% | 6.7% | 1.7% |
| Alyson Crowley | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 17.6% | 14.4% | 6.6% |
| Grace Yakutis | 15.6% | 17.9% | 15.0% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Laura Roudebush | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 3.3% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 13.4% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 3.3% |
| Alexis Miller | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 13.6% | 27.0% | 35.5% |
| Natalie Hopper | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 11.7% | 21.4% | 47.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.