← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of California at Los Angeles1.43+4.04vs Predicted
-
2Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+3.66vs Predicted
-
3University of Southern California1.96+1.02vs Predicted
-
4University of Hawaii1.74+0.32vs Predicted
-
5University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-1.67vs Predicted
-
6Stanford University2.63-3.22vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+0.30vs Predicted
-
8University of California at Berkeley1.48-3.08vs Predicted
-
9University of California at San Diego-0.11-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.04University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
-
5.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
-
4.02University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
-
4.32University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
-
3.33University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
-
2.78Stanford University2.630.3%1st Place
-
7.3University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
-
4.92University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
-
7.63University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Roudebush | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 4.0% |
| Alyson Crowley | 4.1% | 5.8% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 15.9% | 18.7% | 16.2% | 6.8% |
| Grace Yakutis | 12.6% | 15.1% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 16.6% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 11.3% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 10.4% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Simone Staff | 22.5% | 20.1% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 28.5% | 23.7% | 17.4% | 14.2% | 8.2% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Alexis Miller | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 11.3% | 30.0% | 33.9% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 14.9% | 10.6% | 3.6% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 11.3% | 21.8% | 48.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.