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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.96+3.02vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.63+0.96vs Predicted
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3University of California at Los Angeles1.43+2.07vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.29-0.70vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+2.19vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.74-1.62vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18-1.44vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.11-0.38vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.48-4.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.02University of Southern California1.960.1%1st Place
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2.96Stanford University2.630.2%1st Place
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5.07University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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3.3University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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7.19University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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4.38University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
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5.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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7.62University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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4.9University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grace Yakutis | 14.7% | 15.1% | 13.7% | 15.1% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 9.6% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 25.0% | 23.5% | 17.0% | 15.5% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Laura Roudebush | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 12.8% | 15.4% | 17.6% | 10.8% | 4.1% |
| Simone Staff | 20.5% | 19.8% | 19.4% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Alexis Miller | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 26.6% | 35.2% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 12.4% | 11.2% | 12.5% | 16.8% | 12.8% | 16.4% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 1.8% |
| Alyson Crowley | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 20.5% | 15.6% | 5.8% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 10.0% | 23.0% | 47.8% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 8.7% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 15.9% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.