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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+4.50vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.29+1.54vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.63-0.14vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles1.43+0.96vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.96-1.08vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz0.12+1.26vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.48-2.05vs Predicted
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8University of California at San Diego-0.11-0.38vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.74-4.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.1%1st Place
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3.54University of California at Santa Barbara2.290.2%1st Place
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2.86Stanford University2.630.3%1st Place
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4.96University of California at Los Angeles1.430.1%1st Place
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3.92University of Southern California1.960.2%1st Place
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7.26University of California at Santa Cruz0.120.0%1st Place
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4.95University of California at Berkeley1.480.1%1st Place
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7.62University of California at San Diego-0.110.0%1st Place
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4.39University of Hawaii1.740.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alyson Crowley | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 14.0% | 19.8% | 16.0% | 5.8% |
| Simone Staff | 17.0% | 18.9% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 14.7% | 8.6% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 28.7% | 23.0% | 15.4% | 13.3% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Laura Roudebush | 7.5% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 15.5% | 9.3% | 4.7% |
| Grace Yakutis | 15.8% | 16.0% | 16.6% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 0.9% |
| Alexis Miller | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 11.2% | 28.8% | 34.3% |
| Elizabeth Hansen | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 15.0% | 13.3% | 16.2% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 3.1% |
| Natalie Hopper | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 21.0% | 48.4% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 12.0% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 15.0% | 14.8% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.