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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+5.47vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.60+9.05vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.39+8.82vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.77+2.81vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.21+7.34vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.76+4.77vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.60+0.29vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.48-0.33vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+0.13vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.53-2.57vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.74+2.89vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.24-6.84vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.21-3.99vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.56-6.37vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.73-8.19vs Predicted
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16Boston University3.24-7.23vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.70-6.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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11.05Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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11.82Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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6.81Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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12.34Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.77University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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7.29Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.67Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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7.43Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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13.89University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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5.16Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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9.01Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.63Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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6.81Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.77Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.95University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 10.6% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 7.9% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 13.9% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 18.0% |
| Brendan Read | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 6.4% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Mack Fox | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| James Amaral | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 16.0% | 37.1% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.8% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 2.4% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.6% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.1% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.