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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+5.55vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.77+4.63vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+2.07vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+4.73vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.76+5.49vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.39+6.06vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.21+5.51vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.60-0.83vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.56-1.36vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.60+1.09vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.74+2.95vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.53-4.36vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.70-2.00vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.21-5.05vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.73-8.22vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-7.06vs Predicted
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17Brown University3.48-9.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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6.63Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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5.07Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.73Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.49University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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12.06Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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12.51Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.17Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.64Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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11.09Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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13.95University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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7.64Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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11.0University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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8.95Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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6.78Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.94U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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7.79Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.6% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| Brendan Read | 2.2% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 13.1% | 14.0% | 13.8% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 15.6% | 17.8% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 7.6% |
| James Amaral | 1.4% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 15.7% | 38.4% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 7.4% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 1.4% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Mack Fox | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.