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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.48+6.61vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.60+5.27vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+2.08vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.39+7.93vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.56+2.32vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.77+0.85vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.24+1.75vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+0.70vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-2.12vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.60+1.15vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.76-0.33vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.21+0.52vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.21-4.11vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College3.53-6.28vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.73-8.19vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.74-2.03vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.70-6.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.61Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.27Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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5.08Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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11.93Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.32Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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6.85Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.75Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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6.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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11.15Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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10.67University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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12.52Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.89Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.72Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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6.81Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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13.97University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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10.88University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shanahan | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.5% | 13.0% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 1.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 13.6% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 0.9% |
| Mack Fox | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 8.3% |
| Brendan Read | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 6.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 16.2% | 18.6% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| James Amaral | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 10.8% | 15.2% | 36.9% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.