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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.62+7.22vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.98+4.90vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.89+4.36vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.92+0.24vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+2.50vs Predicted
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6Boston University4.07+0.81vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.78+0.69vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University3.26+1.54vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.25+0.54vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.54+1.77vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-3.46vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University4.71-7.00vs Predicted
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13Harvard University4.17-6.24vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53-5.41vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16-3.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.22University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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6.9Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.36Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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4.24Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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7.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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6.81Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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7.69Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.54Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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9.54Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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11.77Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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5.0Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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6.76Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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12.54Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Carmody | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% |
| Colin Smith | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Taylor Canfield | 18.3% | 17.4% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Ben Greenfield | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.1% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 7.0% |
| D.J. Hatch | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 12.3% | 5.5% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 12.4% | 19.8% | 27.4% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.4% |
| Alec Anderson | 13.7% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John Stokes | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 3.9% |
| Michael Reney | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 18.4% | 42.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.