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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+6.37vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.77+4.54vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+3.60vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.39+7.81vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College3.56+2.21vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.48+1.80vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.60+0.25vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.70+2.45vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.60+2.28vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.76+0.36vs Predicted
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11University of New Hampshire1.74+2.81vs Predicted
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12Yale University4.24-6.95vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.24-4.27vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.71-3.26vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-6.28vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.73-9.21vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.21-4.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.37Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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6.54Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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6.6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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11.81Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.21Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.8Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.25Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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10.45University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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11.28Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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10.36University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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13.81University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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5.05Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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8.73Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.74Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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8.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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6.79Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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12.47Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 12.8% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.0% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.7% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 8.9% |
| Brendan Read | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.2% |
| James Amaral | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 16.9% | 35.6% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.4% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% |
| Walter Florio | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 5.6% |
| Mack Fox | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 12.7% | 14.4% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.