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📊 Prediction Accuracy
0.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+6.27vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.56+5.24vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.24+5.56vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+2.65vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+3.54vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.60+5.22vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.76+3.45vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.24-3.03vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.39+2.96vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.48-2.44vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.73-4.14vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.60-4.79vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.77-6.33vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.70-3.17vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.71-4.39vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.74-2.09vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.21-4.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.24Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.56Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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11.22Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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10.45University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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4.97Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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11.96Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.56Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.86Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.21Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.67Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.83University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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10.61Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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13.91University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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12.49Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 9.0% |
| Brendan Read | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 4.6% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.7% | 14.8% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 12.4% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.5% |
| Walter Florio | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% |
| James Amaral | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 16.9% | 34.4% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 11.9% | 15.4% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.