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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.76+9.21vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+4.41vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.53+4.50vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.77+2.66vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.39+6.58vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.60+1.46vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.60+4.11vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+0.63vs Predicted
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9Yale University4.24-3.90vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.24-1.50vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.21+1.52vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.71-1.41vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.48-5.13vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.56-6.55vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.73-8.30vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.70-5.20vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.74-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.21University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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6.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.5Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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6.66Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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11.58Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.46Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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11.11Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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5.1Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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8.5Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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12.52Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.59Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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7.87Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.45Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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6.7Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.8University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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13.93University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Read | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 4.3% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.9% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.4% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 1.4% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 12.2% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 7.5% |
| Mack Fox | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.3% | 14.3% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 15.2% | 20.7% |
| Walter Florio | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 5.6% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.9% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 6.2% |
| James Amaral | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 15.7% | 37.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.