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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College3.56+6.20vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.73+4.64vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.39+8.75vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.70+6.74vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+1.45vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+2.95vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.60+4.03vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.76+2.23vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.48-1.14vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.71+0.54vs Predicted
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11Roger Williams University3.77-4.27vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.24-3.40vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.60-5.67vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.21-1.46vs Predicted
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15Yale University4.24-9.97vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.53-8.50vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.74-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.2Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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6.64Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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11.75Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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10.74University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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6.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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11.03Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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10.23University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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7.86Brown University3.480.0%1st Place
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10.54Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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6.73Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.6Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.33Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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12.54Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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5.03Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.5Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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13.87University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 13.2% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 12.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 10.3% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Mack Fox | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 6.9% |
| Brendan Read | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 5.5% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Walter Florio | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 6.3% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 17.1% | 18.5% |
| Nicholas Baird | 16.1% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| James Amaral | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 16.0% | 35.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.