← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.53+6.29vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.76+8.40vs Predicted
-
3Northeastern University2.60+8.08vs Predicted
-
4Boston University3.24+4.68vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.48+2.47vs Predicted
-
6Boston College3.73+0.93vs Predicted
-
7Yale University4.24-2.05vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-1.46vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University3.77-2.21vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-1.36vs Predicted
-
11University of New Hampshire1.74+2.81vs Predicted
-
12Tufts University2.39-0.26vs Predicted
-
13Harvard University3.60-5.62vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College2.71-3.24vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont2.70-4.31vs Predicted
-
16Bowdoin College3.56-8.58vs Predicted
-
17Salve Regina University2.21-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.29Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
10.4University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
-
11.08Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
-
8.68Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
-
7.47Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
6.93Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
4.95Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
-
6.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
6.79Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
-
8.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
-
13.81University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
-
11.74Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
-
7.38Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
10.76Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
-
10.69University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
-
7.42Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
12.44Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 8.6% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Read | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 5.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 9.6% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.1% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 7.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Mack Fox | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.8% |
| James Amaral | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 13.6% | 37.9% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 13.8% | 11.9% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Walter Florio | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 4.8% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 6.1% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 16.6% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.