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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.77+5.47vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+6.70vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College2.71+7.59vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.60+7.08vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+1.45vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.73+0.84vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.76+3.44vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.24+0.42vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.39+3.01vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.70+0.60vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.60-3.61vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.53-4.48vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.74+0.89vs Predicted
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14Yale University4.24-8.89vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College3.56-7.63vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.48-8.33vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.21-4.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.47Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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10.59Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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11.08Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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6.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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6.84Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.44University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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8.42Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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12.01Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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10.6University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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7.39Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.52Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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13.89University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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5.11Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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7.37Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.67Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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12.44Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mack Fox | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Walter Florio | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 6.3% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Read | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 4.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 13.7% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 6.5% |
| Nick Sertl | 8.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| James Amaral | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 16.4% | 36.1% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.4% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 16.9% | 18.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.