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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+5.40vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.24+2.97vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+5.73vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.48+3.69vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.73+1.61vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.39+5.95vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.21+5.39vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.60-0.88vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.76+1.62vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.77-3.51vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.24-2.28vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.53-4.49vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.60-1.82vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.74-0.10vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.70-4.36vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.56-8.57vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.71-6.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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4.97Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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8.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.69Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.61Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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11.95Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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12.39Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.12Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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10.62University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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6.49Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.72Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.51Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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11.18Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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13.9University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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10.64University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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7.43Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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10.65Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 9.9% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.7% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 1.6% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 13.0% | 13.8% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 15.5% | 15.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Brendan Read | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.3% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 8.2% |
| James Amaral | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 15.8% | 36.3% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 7.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Walter Florio | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.