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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+5.42vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+5.43vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+3.78vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.56+3.49vs Predicted
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5Boston University3.24+3.41vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.24-0.87vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.77-0.42vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.39+3.57vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.60-1.59vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-1.41vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.60+0.12vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.71-1.42vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.21-0.47vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.70-3.12vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.48-7.37vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.76-5.41vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.74-3.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.42Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.43Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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6.78Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.49Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.41Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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5.13Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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6.58Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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11.57Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.41Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
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11.12Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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10.58Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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12.53Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.88University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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7.63Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.59University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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13.88University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.9% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 12.9% | 13.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Mack Fox | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 7.5% |
| Walter Florio | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 17.8% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 6.4% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Brendan Read | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% |
| James Amaral | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 15.1% | 36.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.