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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+5.54vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+5.57vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.60+4.37vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.24+1.12vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.48+2.59vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.60+5.34vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.21+1.85vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.56-0.70vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.70+2.02vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.21+2.47vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.39+0.96vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.24-3.30vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.77-6.19vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.76-3.30vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.74-1.14vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.73-9.15vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-8.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.57Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.37Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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5.12Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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7.59Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.34Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.85Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.3Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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11.02University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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12.47Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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11.96Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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8.7Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.81Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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10.7University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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13.86University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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6.85Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.7% | 13.4% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 9.4% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 12.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 15.6% | 16.3% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 13.7% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Read | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.4% |
| James Amaral | 0.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 37.8% |
| Charles Sinks | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Mack Fox | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.