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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+6.31vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.54+9.57vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.78+4.68vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+4.62vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.62+3.39vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.92-1.80vs Predicted
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7Harvard University4.17-0.59vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-0.51vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University4.71-4.28vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.98-2.80vs Predicted
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11Boston University4.07-4.10vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.25-2.14vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.89-5.34vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University3.26-4.54vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16-2.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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11.57Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
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7.68Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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8.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.0%1st Place
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8.39University of Rhode Island3.620.0%1st Place
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4.2Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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6.41Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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4.72Roger Williams University4.710.1%1st Place
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7.2Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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6.9Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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9.86Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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7.66Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.46Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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12.53Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sommer | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 18.2% | 26.0% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% |
| Matthew Carmody | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 3.3% |
| Taylor Canfield | 18.2% | 15.5% | 15.2% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| John Stokes | 10.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Alec Anderson | 14.9% | 15.2% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Colin Smith | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Ben Greenfield | 7.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| D.J. Hatch | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 8.1% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 6.0% |
| Michael Reney | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 18.8% | 41.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.