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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+7.49vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.53+5.51vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+2.09vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.48+3.82vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+3.66vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.88vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.60+0.34vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.56-0.67vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.76+1.78vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.39+1.88vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.73-4.01vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.77-5.33vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.21-4.03vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.740.00vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.60-3.87vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.70-5.11vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.21-4.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.49Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.51Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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5.09Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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7.82Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.66U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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6.88Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.34Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.33Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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10.78University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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11.88Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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6.99Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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6.67Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.97Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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14.0University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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11.13Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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10.89University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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12.57Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.6% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.9% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Mack Fox | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Brendan Read | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 6.3% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 11.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.3% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 2.6% |
| James Amaral | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 17.2% | 37.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 9.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 16.8% | 19.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.