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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+6.62vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.60+5.35vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.24+2.13vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+2.52vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.77+1.57vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.21+6.47vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.39+4.81vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.56-0.75vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.76+1.47vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.48-2.06vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.24-2.39vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.73-4.98vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.71-2.55vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-5.53vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.60-3.98vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.74-2.04vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.70-6.20vs Predicted
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18McGill University-0.85-0.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.62Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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7.35Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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5.13Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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6.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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6.57Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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12.47Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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11.81Tufts University2.390.0%1st Place
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7.25Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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10.47University of Rhode Island2.760.0%1st Place
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7.94Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.61Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.02Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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10.45Connecticut College2.710.0%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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11.02Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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13.96University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
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10.8University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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17.54McGill University-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.3% | 13.7% | 12.2% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.5% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 14.6% | 16.7% | 2.2% |
| Florian Eenkema Van Dijk | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 1.1% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Walter Florio | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 0.7% |
| Mack Fox | 5.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 0.4% |
| James Amaral | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 33.2% | 4.6% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 0.8% |
| Haluk Calin | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 89.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.