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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.20+6.38vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+4.85vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+3.86vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.72+5.37vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.13+2.63vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.19+1.74vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.24+0.44vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.97+0.23vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.71-3.17vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.81-1.13vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.05+0.94vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.92-3.40vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.20-5.37vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-4.45vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-1.26vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.23-1.66vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.31-5.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.38Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.85Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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9.37University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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7.63Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.74Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.44Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.23Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.83Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.87Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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11.94University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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8.6Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.63Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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13.74Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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14.34University of New Hampshire1.230.0%1st Place
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11.02Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsey Baab | 8.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Wade Waddell | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Trevor Long | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Martim Anderson | 10.4% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Colin Richards | 2.9% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 12.3% |
| William Hawk | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 0.9% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Shane Riera | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 1.5% |
| Jennifer Killian | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 10.4% | 18.9% | 31.6% |
| Nathan Borovick | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 10.2% | 19.1% | 38.3% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 7.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.