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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.97+7.19vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.77vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.05+8.78vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.71+1.76vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.35+1.81vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.72+3.55vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.20+0.52vs Predicted
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8Tufts University3.24-0.78vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.13-1.02vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.19-2.56vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.39+2.83vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College2.92-3.45vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.31-1.91vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.23+0.30vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.81-5.95vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-6.45vs Predicted
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17Harvard University3.20-9.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.19Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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11.78University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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5.76Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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6.81Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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9.55University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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7.52Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.22Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.98Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.44Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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13.83Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.55Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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11.09Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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14.3University of New Hampshire1.230.0%1st Place
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9.05Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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9.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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7.61Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Trevor Long | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Colin Richards | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 10.6% |
| Martim Anderson | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 5.5% | 1.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Cameron Holley | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 11.0% | 19.9% | 32.0% |
| William Hawk | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 9.8% | 7.4% |
| Nathan Borovick | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 20.6% | 37.8% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Shane Riera | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 2.9% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.