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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+5.81vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.20+5.47vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.92+5.60vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.94vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.20+2.34vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+3.57vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.71-1.38vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.97+0.23vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.19-1.21vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.72-0.77vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.05+0.86vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.81-3.00vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.24-5.50vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.23+0.35vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.13-7.20vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-2.09vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.31-6.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.81Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.47Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.6Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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6.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.34Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.1%1st Place
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5.62Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.23Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.79Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.23University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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11.86University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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9.0Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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7.5Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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14.35University of New Hampshire1.230.0%1st Place
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7.8Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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13.91Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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10.98Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Waddell | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| William Hawk | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| Trevor Long | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Shane Riera | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 1.6% |
| Martim Anderson | 11.8% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 3.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Colin Richards | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 15.8% | 11.3% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Borovick | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 10.9% | 18.7% | 40.0% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 11.0% | 19.4% | 31.4% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.