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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.24+6.06vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.20+5.33vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.19+4.49vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+5.35vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.39+8.56vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.97+2.51vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.20+0.43vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.25-0.86vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-1.99vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.71-4.45vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.81-1.88vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.72-2.76vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.05-1.15vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.35-7.03vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.23-0.87vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.79-3.32vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.92-8.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.06Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.33Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.49Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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13.56Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.51Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.43Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.14Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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5.55Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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9.12Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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9.24University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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11.85University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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6.97Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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14.13University of New Hampshire1.230.0%1st Place
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12.68Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.57Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Holley | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.5% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Shane Riera | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 1.5% |
| Jennifer Killian | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 11.5% | 21.4% | 26.7% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Trevor Long | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Martim Anderson | 13.0% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Colin Richards | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 11.3% |
| Wade Waddell | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Borovick | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 10.4% | 19.1% | 36.4% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 13.8% | 17.4% | 14.4% |
| William Hawk | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.