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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.72+8.04vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+7.28vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.71+2.65vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.91vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.24+2.15vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.25+1.46vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.92+1.53vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.81+0.77vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-1.97vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.20-2.67vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.39+2.83vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.05-0.30vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.79-0.33vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.97-5.56vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.20-7.56vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.19-8.45vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.23-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.04University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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9.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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5.65Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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6.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.15Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.46Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.53Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.77Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.03Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.33Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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13.83Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.7University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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12.67Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.44Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.44Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.55Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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14.22University of New Hampshire1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Isherwood | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% |
| Shane Riera | 4.5% | 4.5% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 1.5% |
| Martim Anderson | 11.7% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Trevor Long | 9.5% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| William Hawk | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Wade Waddell | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 11.7% | 20.1% | 31.1% |
| Colin Richards | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 14.8% | 14.0% | 8.9% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 14.1% | 18.0% | 15.6% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Nathan Borovick | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 20.4% | 35.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.