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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.92+3.20vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University4.71+2.63vs Predicted
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3Boston University4.07+3.66vs Predicted
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4Harvard University4.17+2.45vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.98+2.17vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+0.38vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.53+0.56vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-1.53vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.16+2.67vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.78-3.15vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University3.26-2.44vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College3.25-3.16vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.89-6.35vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.62-6.67vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.54-4.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Boston College4.920.2%1st Place
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4.63Roger Williams University4.710.2%1st Place
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6.66Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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6.45Harvard University4.170.1%1st Place
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7.17Brown University3.980.1%1st Place
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7.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.530.1%1st Place
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7.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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12.67Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.160.0%1st Place
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7.85Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.56Northeastern University3.260.0%1st Place
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9.84Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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7.65Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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8.33University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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11.58Salve Regina University2.540.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Canfield | 17.7% | 19.5% | 13.5% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alec Anderson | 16.1% | 15.4% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ben Greenfield | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| John Stokes | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Colin Smith | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Jonathan Duffett | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 3.7% |
| Johnny Norfleet | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Michael Reney | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 16.9% | 43.1% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Maarten Eenkema Van Dijk | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 8.6% |
| D.J. Hatch | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.9% | 8.9% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Carmody | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 2.3% |
| Robert Lippincott | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 20.6% | 24.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.