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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.97+7.07vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.92+6.46vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.20+4.41vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.71+1.64vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.24+2.12vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20+1.63vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.05+4.73vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.25-0.87vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.35-1.95vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.39+3.75vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-4.05vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-2.65vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.23+1.24vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.72-4.53vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.79-2.49vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.19-8.49vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.81-8.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.07Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.46Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.41Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.64Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.12Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.63Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.73University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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7.13Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.05Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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13.75Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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6.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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14.24University of New Hampshire1.230.0%1st Place
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9.47University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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12.51Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
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7.51Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.99Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| William Hawk | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Martim Anderson | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Colin Richards | 3.3% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 11.1% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 9.3% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Wade Waddell | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 20.1% | 27.2% |
| Trevor Long | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Shane Riera | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.7% |
| Nathan Borovick | 1.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 18.5% | 37.7% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 2.1% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 14.4% | 18.4% | 14.5% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.