← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University2.97+7.22vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.24+5.28vs Predicted
-
3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+6.44vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.96vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.81+3.87vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.20+1.80vs Predicted
-
7Roger Williams University3.71-1.33vs Predicted
-
8University of Rhode Island2.72+1.18vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College2.92-0.18vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College3.19-2.51vs Predicted
-
11Yale University3.25-3.47vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University3.20-4.47vs Predicted
-
13Salve Regina University1.39+0.91vs Predicted
-
14Boston College3.35-6.91vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University2.31-4.09vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont2.05-4.06vs Predicted
-
17University of New Hampshire1.23-2.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.22Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
-
7.28Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
-
9.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
-
6.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
-
8.87Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
-
7.8Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
5.67Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
-
9.18University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
-
8.82Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
-
7.49Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
-
7.53Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
-
7.53Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
-
13.91Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
-
7.09Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
10.91Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
-
11.94University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
-
14.37University of New Hampshire1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Shane Riera | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Trevor Long | 8.4% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Martim Anderson | 11.7% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 1.6% |
| William Hawk | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 5.0% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 23.2% | 31.5% |
| Wade Waddell | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 6.1% |
| Colin Richards | 2.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 15.3% | 10.1% |
| Nathan Borovick | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 18.4% | 40.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.