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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont2.05+10.60vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.81vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.39+10.74vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.72+5.45vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+4.22vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.92+2.83vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.25+0.34vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.20-0.56vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.19-1.19vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.24-2.65vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.20-3.24vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.97-3.56vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.71-7.24vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.23+0.35vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.81-5.90vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.35-9.05vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.31-5.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.6University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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6.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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13.74Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.45University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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9.22U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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8.83Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.34Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.44Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.81Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.35Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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7.76Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.44Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.76Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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14.35University of New Hampshire1.230.0%1st Place
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9.1Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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6.95Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.04Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colin Richards | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 9.6% |
| Trevor Long | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 20.4% | 30.6% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Shane Riera | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 2.4% |
| William Hawk | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 8.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Duncan Williford | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Cameron Holley | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 12.5% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Borovick | 0.8% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 10.3% | 17.7% | 40.4% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Wade Waddell | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Riggs | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 6.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.