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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+5.74vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.69vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.97+5.26vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.92+4.60vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.20+2.27vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.25+1.41vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.81+1.89vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.39+5.52vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.05+2.91vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.20-2.65vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.19-3.29vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.71-6.36vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.24-5.60vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.23+0.26vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-5.66vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.79-3.32vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.72-7.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.26Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.6Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.27Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.41Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.89Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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13.52Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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11.91University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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7.35Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.71Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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5.64Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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14.26University of New Hampshire1.230.0%1st Place
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9.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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12.68Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.34University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Waddell | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 8.2% | 10.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| William Hawk | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 21.4% | 28.3% |
| Colin Richards | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 15.0% | 15.0% | 9.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Duncan Williford | 8.5% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Martim Anderson | 11.3% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Nathan Borovick | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 19.4% | 37.3% |
| Shane Riera | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 17.2% | 15.0% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.