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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.25+6.04vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+4.78vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+3.81vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College2.81+4.99vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.24+2.16vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.71-0.21vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.97+1.33vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.20-0.69vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.19-1.33vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.20-2.68vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.92-2.36vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.05-0.28vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-3.51vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.72-4.56vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.23-0.93vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-2.20vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.79-4.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.78Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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6.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.99Connecticut College2.810.1%1st Place
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7.16Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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5.79Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.33Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.31Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.67Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.32Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.64Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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11.72University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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9.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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9.44University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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14.07University of New Hampshire1.230.0%1st Place
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13.8Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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12.63Northeastern University1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malcolm Lamphere | 9.0% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Wade Waddell | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Carter Pemberton | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Martim Anderson | 11.6% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| William Hawk | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Colin Richards | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 9.5% |
| Shane Riera | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 1.9% |
| Nathan Borovick | 0.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 19.5% | 35.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 19.4% | 28.6% |
| Zachary Bresnick | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 9.1% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.