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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.97+7.15vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.71+3.57vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.31+7.89vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.20+3.53vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.92+3.40vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.25+1.46vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.05+4.83vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+1.15vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.96-0.40vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.72-0.81vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.20-3.30vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-5.17vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.81-3.84vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.35-6.99vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.24-7.69vs Predicted
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16University of New Hampshire1.23-1.69vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.39-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.15Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.57Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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10.89Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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7.53Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.4Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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7.46Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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11.83University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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9.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.1%1st Place
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8.6Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
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9.19University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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7.7Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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6.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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9.16Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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7.01Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.31Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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14.31University of New Hampshire1.230.0%1st Place
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13.92Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robby Gearon | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Martim Anderson | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 6.9% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| William Hawk | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Colin Richards | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 10.2% |
| Shane Riera | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 2.4% |
| Jack McGraw | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 1.6% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Trevor Long | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Wade Waddell | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Cameron Holley | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Borovick | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 19.6% | 38.6% |
| Jennifer Killian | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 20.4% | 32.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.