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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+5.68vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.97+6.28vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+3.88vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.25+3.33vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.20+2.37vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.24+1.49vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.71-1.40vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.20-0.61vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.96-0.42vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.81-1.14vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.72-1.53vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.31-1.15vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.92-4.31vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70-4.47vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.05-3.22vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-2.07vs Predicted
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17University of New Hampshire1.23-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.68Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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8.28Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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6.88Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.33Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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7.37Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.49Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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5.6Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.39Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.58Dartmouth College2.960.1%1st Place
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8.86Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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9.47University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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10.85Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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8.69Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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9.53U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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11.78University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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13.93Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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14.26University of New Hampshire1.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Long | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Wade Waddell | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Martim Anderson | 11.3% | 12.8% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Jack McGraw | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 2.0% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 6.9% |
| William Hawk | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Shane Riera | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 2.3% |
| Colin Richards | 1.9% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 11.8% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 12.0% | 20.1% | 30.9% |
| Nathan Borovick | 0.9% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 17.8% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.