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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.71+4.61vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.25+5.33vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.35+3.99vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.31+6.94vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.09+2.81vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.70+3.70vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-0.03vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.20-0.55vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.20-1.18vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.81-1.07vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.92-2.25vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.97-3.57vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire1.23+1.27vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.96-5.37vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.05-3.16vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.39-2.02vs Predicted
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17Tufts University3.24-9.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.61Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.33Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.99Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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10.94Northeastern University2.310.0%1st Place
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7.81University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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9.7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.700.0%1st Place
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6.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.45Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.82Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.93Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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8.75Bowdoin College2.920.1%1st Place
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8.43Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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14.27University of New Hampshire1.230.0%1st Place
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8.63Dartmouth College2.960.0%1st Place
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11.84University of Vermont2.050.0%1st Place
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13.98Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.56Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martim Anderson | 14.0% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Wade Waddell | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Riggs | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 6.8% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Shane Riera | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Trevor Long | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 8.8% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.0% |
| William Hawk | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% |
| Nathan Borovick | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 19.9% | 38.7% |
| Jack McGraw | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.6% |
| Colin Richards | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 11.7% |
| Jennifer Killian | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 12.1% | 22.3% | 30.3% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.